Ethereum’s October 2026 $2,800 spot accumulation after Fidelity’s ETHA launch

Technical resistance and support levels

Ethereum trades at $2,571.95 following a 4.66% drop in the last 24 hours. The 30-day price change remains positive at 3.33%. The 24-hour volume reached $24.00B. Derivatives data shows $55.20M in liquidations over the last 24-hour period, including $51.05M from long liquidations. The price currently tests the $2,550 to $2,570 support zone. A break below $2,500 would reach the 50-day EMA of $2,501. Deeper support exists at $2,450 to $2,400, while the 200-day EMA sits at $2,294. The 200-day SMA is $2,125. The 14-day RSI reading is 59.79. MACD shows slightly negative momentum. Resistance exists between $2,600 and $2,656. A move above $2,781 would bring the $2,859 target into view. Higher resistance sits between $2,690 and $2,700. Traders look for entry near $2,405 to $2,425. The short-term chart shows a possible 30-minute head-and-shoulders formation and a two-hour descending triangle. Immediate resistance is concentrated between $2,600 and $2,656, which includes the 20-day EMA near $2,656. A move above $2,600 signals improving momentum. The market shows Ethereum accumulation at the $2,500 level.

The three-day outflow streak

Ethereum ETFs lost $118 million over three consecutive trading days from September 29 to October 1. This outflow followed a week where the 11 U.S. spot Ethereum funds attracted $690 million. The buying streak ended on September 28 when funds attracted $17 million. On September 29, investors pulled back $3 million. On September 30, withdrawals reached $60 million. On October 1, outflows hit $55 million. Fidelity’s fund led the October 1 exit with $24 million in withdrawals. Grayscale’s Ethereum Mini Trust received $2 million on that same day. Between September 28 and October 1, Bitcoin funds recorded $51 million in inflows, while Ethereum funds saw net outflows of $101 million. This disparity suggests investors rotate money from Ethereum into Bitcoin. Bitcoin funds recorded a $2.4 billion week at the end of September. The $118 million withdrawn represents less than one-fifth of the $690 million that arrived the previous week. Bitcoin ETFs attracted $103 million on October 1. This rotation follows a period where Bitcoin ETFs staged a massive Q3 recovery, attracting $6.3 billion after $5 billion in net outflows during the first half of 2026. Will the current rotation into Bitcoin persist throughout the fourth quarter?

ETHA options and price ratios

The iShares Ethereum Trust ETF (ETHA) tracks Ethereum with a specific ratio. Each ETHA share represents 0.00757 ETH. A $100 move in Ethereum results in a $0.76 move for each ETHA share. Traders use options to manage this movement.

ETHA Option Type Strike Price Last Price Open Interest
Call $18.00 $2.42 3,623
Call $20.00 $0.62 2,101
Call $21.00 $0.16 18,567
Call $22.00 $0.04 18,897
Put $18.00 $0.02 876
Put $20.00 $0.18 14,344
Put $21.00 $0.73 799
Put $22.00 $1.53 211
ETH Price (USD) Implied ETHA NAV (0.00757/share)
2,000 $15.14
2,500 $18.93
3,000 $22.71
4,000 $30.28
5,000 $37.85
10,000 $75.70

The $18 call has an open interest of 3,623 contracts. The $20 call shows 2,101 contracts. The $21 call shows 18,567 contracts. The $22 call has 18,897 contracts. For puts, the $18 strike has 876 contracts. The $20 strike has 14,344 contracts. The $21 strike put has 799 contracts. The $22 strike put has 211 contracts. You already know how volatility affects your entry, so look at the immediate resistance levels.

Comparing Ethereum and Bitcoin ETF assets

Ethereum ETFs hold $17.7 billion in total assets. This figure exceeds the $13.8 billion net total investors put into these funds since launch. The total net asset value for spot Ethereum ETFs is $17.356 billion. This represents 5.27% of Ethereum’s total market cap. Cumulative net inflows since inception reached $13.549 billion. In 2026, Ethereum ETFs saw $1.5 billion in inflows. Bitcoin ETFs saw $985 million in inflows during the same period. Bitcoin funds manage $109 billion in total assets, which is six times larger than the $18 billion held by Ethereum funds. Bitcoin funds gained about $52 billion since inception. Ethereum funds show a smaller gain of roughly $4 billion. Bitcoin funds hit $128 billion in mid-January 2026. Ethereum funds hit $21 billion on the same day. Ethereum is outpacing Bitcoin’s inflow rate by $525 million annually, but closing Bitcoin’s $44 billion cumulative lead would still take over 80 years. While Ethereum ETFs attracted $1.5 billion in 2026 inflows, Bitcoin funds still manage $109 billion in total assets, which is six times larger than the $18 billion held by Ethereum products.

Newsletter